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Let me take on battery cost to start with. Having
been the Program Mgr for both the Prius and RAV4 EV,
there is a tremendous difference in battery costs. MSRP
for a RAV pack is $22,000 which is subsidized several
times over vs. the current $4800 for Prius. Lets not
forget that the full sized deep charge EV batteries are
only good for 3-5 years and 1,00-1,200 charging cycles
before requiring replacement. <br>Regarding our
research, we go thru great lengths to educate the
respondants to that attributes and nuances of all these
technologies in order to get data that actually has
relevance.<br>For retail consumers it comes down to people not
wanting to pay more to get less. Less in terms of
convenience in range, recharge time and value.<br>All
consumers expectations are based on their experiences with
the internal combustion engine, a formidable
competitor. Its cheap to build, getting cleaner ever day,
runs on a variety of cheap and plentiful fuels and has
a dedicated infratructure on every corner. Each of
these new maturing technologies are measured against
it. The battery EV can meet a small percentage of
consumers expectations, but the range, re-charge and value
issues preclude from being considered viable by the
majority of consumers as a primary vehicle in their
household fleet. The hybrid can meet and exceed many
consumers expectations, but is still handicapped by a price
premium and packaging issues. Fuel Cell technology shows
great promises but development issues such as quick
starting, cold weather operation, cost, packaging and
infrastructure need to be overcome before they are viable. While
you will see every automaker with FC demo programs in
the next several years, it really won't be before the
end of the decade before they are really commercially
viable.<br>In part, thats why we at Toyota believe that HEV
technology is a better near term solution than battery EVs.
Air quality issues can be impacted quicker with
greater volume without any perceived inconvenience by
consumers. PM
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