Why so few Prius? |
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Mar 3 2001, 03:39 PM
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An idle thought passed through my cranium driving
my opalescent green Prius. What IS Toyota's
marketing strategy anyway? My dealer (Durham, NC) claims to
have 25 on back order and could have sold 50 more if
people hadn't had to wait 5 months. He also reported
that the entire 2001-2002 model year is pre-sold. So
the question remains, WHY? The rate of complaint by
this group would indicate that perhaps many dealers
are not up to the challenge of this revolution, but
is that a reason to limit the sales to a highly pent
market? My dealer also reports that Toyota is taking a
substantial loss ($7k+ or -) per unit. So one way to limit
loss is to sell more, and spread the
development/marketing cost over more units (overly simple Econ 101). So
I am still clueless as to why so few people are
leading the revolution when others are williing, waiting,
and wanting to join the cause we all are so
enthusiastic about. Your thoughts would be enlightening.
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Mar 3 2001, 06:58 PM
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> What IS Toyota's marketing strategy anyway?
Your thoughts would be enlightening.
<br><br>Ok.<br><br>What's the rush? Taking a year to educate salepeople and
train mechanics makes a lot of sense to me. There's a
lot of mis-information out there. People like us are
helping correct all that *BEFORE* the mass sales begin.
For example, the "selling at a loss" information you
were given is wrong. Toyota is now at the break-even
point. Another example is when should the oil be
changed. A number of dealers are recommending every 3000
miles so they can make more money. If you follow the
recommended duration of 7500 miles, they won't make as much.
(Econ 101 again) Yet another example is the bill for
changing the oil and rotating the tires. Toyota is suppose
to pick up the bill the first 5 times, many dealers
aren't aware of this yet. We're making sure they
learn.<br><br>Also, how do you sell hundreds of thousands of Prius
without first providing proof that it really can handle
all the driving conditions we'll expose it to in the
United States? I now have 10,015 miles under my belt. By
telling you that and mentioning that I haven't ever had a
lick of trouble, despite the fact that I endured a
Minnesota winter, is all it takes. Real life endorsements
from actual owners are far more effect than any review
you'll ever read. But those miles take awhile to rack
up. <br><br>Meanwhile, Toyota is preparing to sell
its hybrid minivan, the Estima, this fall in Japan.
So they'll obviously be expanding there production
abilities. (Hey, it takes 3 years to build a FAB for
creating CPUs.) Eventually, all their success will get the
attention of the competition over here and they'll be ready
for it. For now, the rollout is occuring over in
Europe where they actually care about MPG and emissions.
Unfortunately, the "american way" means bigger & stronger. In
the United States, trucks & SUVs are selling at
incredible rates. Many of them don't even have MPG listed on
the window-sticker and they don't have to meet strict
emissions guidelines because they are "intended for utility
purposes". How do you compete with that?<br><br>I have seen
improvement. Many people now understand that hybrids have the
ability to self-recharge. That wasn't the case before.
And at the auto show last year, there was a locked
Prius on display. This year, it's open for everyone to
scrutinize, touch, inspect, etc.<br><br><br>I could go on and
on. There are so many influences, there's no real way
of knowing what caused what decision. Hopefully, the
2002 will be commonly available. I like the fact that
the 2001 is limited. Only 12,000 made means I own a
collector's item. This is the first mass-market
hybrid-electric. Can you say Ford Mustang 64 1/2
?<br><br><br>JOHN<br><a href=http://home.att.net/~john1701a
target=new>http://home.att.net/~john1701a</a>
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Mar 3 2001, 07:00 PM
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My idle thought is that Toyota is challenged to
promote this excellent car through the dealer network
regardless of the dealer's <br>attitude/interest/competence
level. If there is one single impedement between the car
and the people who want it......it's the dealer.
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Mar 3 2001, 07:30 PM
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> If there is one single impedement between
the car and the people who want it......it's the
dealer. <br><br>Great point!<br><br>I was at the Auto
Show today for 5.5 hours. During that time I
encountered 2 distinct attitudes. Some of the people working
for Toyota were really excited that an actual owner
was there to help answer questions, others didn't
give a rip.<br><br>If seasoned salespeople have been
doing the same thing for so many years, enjoying it and
making the money they desire, why change? Having Toyota
push this new concept, without much of a resulting
commission, has to be a huge
challenge.<br><br>JOHN<br><a href=http://home.att.net/~john1701a
target=new>http://home.att.net/~john1701a</a>
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Mar 3 2001, 11:18 PM
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In Message 4038 drhalister asked:<br>>What IS
Toyota's marketing strategy anyway?<br>A visit to your
friendly, local Prius dealer with a request for the TU
(Toyota University) Prius training material (binders and
video tapes) will answer your question.<br><br>> My
dealer (Durham, NC) claims to have 25 on <br>> back
order and could have sold 50 more if <br>> people
hadn't had to wait 5 months. <br>Um - by "back order"
your dealercritter must mean "ordered from Toyota by
customers on the web" since dealers are NOT allowed to
"sell them" since dealers can't "get them" into
inventory.<br><br>> He also reported that the entire 2001-2002
<br>> model year is pre-sold.<br>Really??? be VERY
careful to keep your feet out of the BULLSHIT on your
next visit to the dealer. Toyota (the folks that
manufacture the Prius) says "We are currently taking Prius
purchase requests from customers daily. <snip> For
requests finalized and submitted by your dealer today, the
expected vehicle delivery month is June/Mid-July 2001.
Make a witnessed, signed, cash on the table $5000 bet
with your dealer - then show the critter the Prius
order status page at:
<a href=http://prius.toyota.com/buy/order_notice.htm
target=new>http://prius.toyota.com/buy/order_notice.htm</a> This sounds like a
dealercritter that would
actually take a cash deposit on factory installed NAV and
side airbags too.<br><br>> So the question remains,
WHY? <br>And THE answer is, simply, that Toyota is
running at absolute MAXIMUM capacity on it's 2 (?
supposed to be 2 P lines up and runnin..) Prius production
lines. Don't forget that Prius is sold in Japan, US and
Canada as well as GB / Europe and is about to be
introduced in Australia / NZ. That's one hell of a lot of
NiMh batteries and LoRR weenies required, among other
parts!<br><br>Bill Powell<br>(Prius: Driving Mine!)
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Mar 4 2001, 12:19 AM
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I can't believe how long it takes for you to get
your Prius's in the U.S.. I stopped in to my local
dealer 2.5 weeks ago, my salesman checked around and
found a new one in a showroom 200 Km away and I took
delivery of it Thursday night... less than 2 weeks after I
paid my down payment. It's a Canadian delivery Prius
and has Cruise and a CD player built in... but I
don't get 3 years of oil changes like it sounds you
guys are getting.<br> I just want to add, this is my
first Toyota and this thing is fantastic!
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Mar 4 2001, 07:30 AM
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Well, thanks for everyone's astute comments about
why so few of these cars are available. John1701a had
the most sensible answer for my money(i.e.,
controlled rollout period). I also accept that salesmen are
under-inclined to push a car that people can't drive off the
lot, i.e., close the deal while the cutomer is
tangibly present. Even the 64 1/2 Mustang had an initial
run of 125,000+. But it seems to me that Saturn got
the ball rolling faster with a less exciting product
(although the Saturn concept is pretty exciting if not
under-executed).<br><br>So I am left to additional wondering about the lack
of verve with which Toyota is developing and
promoting the Prius. MY best guess? Until the price of gas
becomes painful for most Americans the interest in SULEV
and high MPG vehicles will be low.<br>Loving the
Prius in the Southern Part of Heaven.
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Mar 4 2001, 06:26 PM
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So, does anyone have any info about other new
vehicles? It takes as long as a year to get a PT Cruiser,
that seems kind of odd. And what about the Insight?
Why is the CVT version only available in Japan?
<br><br>And yup, there isn't much motivation for a high MPG
vehicle when gas is so cheap. It's just $1.32 per gallon
here right now. Maybe we can raise interest in the
SULEV
aspect...<br><br>JOHN<br><a href=http://home.att.net/~john1701a
target=new>http://home.att.net/~john1701a</a>
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Mar 4 2001, 11:49 PM
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I wouldn't be surprised if Toyota underestimated
demand in the US. <br><br>As to why dealers are less
than enthusiastic about marketing the Prius: 1.
Ignorance of the car. Don't realize it is such a gem. 2.
The way it is being marketed renders them obsolete
(simlar to drop in service once airlines capped fees to
travel agents, service became crap), which is treatening
and provides no incentive for service. 3. Bird in the
hand is worth two in the bush. Better to sell
inventory on the lot today, rather than risk losing a sale
that won't close for 3 or 5 months down the
road.<br><br>These are gross generalizations, but may point to
general impressions.<br><br>George
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Mar 5 2001, 08:12 AM
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Estimating the consumer market is awful.
<br><br>Look at the Aztec. You'd think 60,000 sales this year
would be a fairly modest figure, that they'd be kicking
themselves later discovering demand was much higher than
expected. Instead, they're piling up in the lots. Only
about 12,000 sales so far. Excess inventory is
costly.<br><br>Comparisons to the computer industry are great, since they
move at least 4 times faster than the automotive
industry. But it still takes them over a year to recover
from an over/underestimation. RAM supply & price has
changed drastically over the last year. And Sony is
having a terrible time making enough PS2 systems. Look
at Apple, introducing a pure USB system in their
iMac was actually too soon. And they got slammed for
it. Yet just a year later, USB devices were
everywhere. They understood what the market really wanted.
But then with their newer iMac and Cube, they
introduced DVD. Unfortunately in that case, the market was
begging for recordable CDs instead. Oops! Now the newest
iMac Apple (introduced just last week in Japan)
dropped the DVD and replaced it with a rewritable CD
drive instead. Too bad their design wasn't flexible
enough to accommodate *both* types of disc
drive.<br><br>Since Prius doesn't have any competition yet (family
sized hybrid), judging what each market wants must be
really tough. And we're just the US. As it was already
pointed out, Canada, Europe, Austrialia, and Hawaii are
all unique markets just getting introduced to the
Prius too. In my opinion, doing all that inside of just
one year is actually pretty
impressive.<br><br>JOHN<br><a href=http://home.att.net/~john1701a
target=new>http://home.att.net/~john1701a</a>
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Mar 5 2001, 09:53 AM
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In Message 4052 taramardikes replied:<br>>I
wouldn't be surprised if Toyota underestimated <br>>
demand in the US. <br>I think they estimated fairly
accurately given the projected production "limit" of 12,000
Prius allocated to the U.S. Consider the "traditional"
alternative: Produce a bunch and ship them all over at once to
dealerships. Market flood, uneven allocation and, once "gone",
a LONG wait for more. Dealercritters declaring that
Prius is "in short supply" and raping potential
customers. I cite the Honda Insight as an example: some
places you can't find an Insight for under $3k over
MRS.. Other places it's "discounted" to $1500 under
simply because the store is WAY overstocked. Supply and
demand gone horribly wrong.<br>I publicly applaud Toyota
and Priusman for making 90 day delivery a reality in
the majority of cases. A VERY difficult scheduling
task done right!<br><br>> As to why dealers are
less than enthusiastic <br>> about marketing the
Prius: 1. Ignorance of the <br>> car. <br>Take a look
at Edmonds to see how much the dealerctitter makes
on a Prius. About $1500 + a small holdback with
little or no flexibility to pull a fast one except for
the occasional "rube". Meanwhile, they have a BUNCH
of lot-plan cars sitting there, all costing them
money AND they have LOTS of room to play games.<br>No -
salescritters are a generally lazy lot (and I DO NOTE the
outstanding exceptions that help inform our groups - the
"profession" needs many more of them!) and expect to close a
sale on the same day the shopper makes their
appearance. Advertising is there to draw customers to the
store and provide the salescritters with the
opportunity to sell something - ANYTHING - right then and
there and get it off the lot plan. Prius, FORTUNATELY,
doesn't work "that way".<br><br>Your generalizations are
right in line with my experiences - just don't go far
enough! :-)<br>Meanwhile, I'm VERY curious just how Prius
is reshaping auto marketing and
delivery.<br><br>Bill Powell<br>(Prius: That Big Pile Of Snow In The
Driveway!)
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Mar 5 2001, 10:44 AM
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I have another related theory:<br><br>Many car
salesmen move around among dealerships quickly. I don't
know how often I have gone back to a dealer to talk to
my salesman about something and found out that he
had left the dealer (Saturn excluded!) A salesman who
moves around a lot is unlikely to be interested in
spending time on a sale where he might not be there to
collect the commission in 3 or 4 months.<br><br>In
addition, the Prius is not a car you can sell without
knowing anything more than the marketing line. You
probably NEED to go to the classes. Permanent short-timers
are not likely to get much payback on their
investment in training.<br><br>There is an upside, which I
discovered during my test drive recently: Make it very clear
at the start that you are only interested in a
Prius. Ask for the Prius specialist, even. The only
people who will be interested in talking to you are the
ones who have a longer-term investment in the dealer
or at least the Prius. That's
goodness!<br><br>Burns<br>MY2002 wannabe<br><br>P.S. By the way Priusman and
others who have any influence: I'm waiting for side air
bags. I'm willing to pay for side air bags! I hope they
will be in the next MY because the moment I can order
an MY2002 with side air, you'll see my name on the
dotted line!
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Mar 5 2001, 08:13 PM
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Thanks Bill and John, You guys are getting so
good that I don't even have to defend the launch
strategy anymore. I might even have to dig up one of those
Time/Life Millenium coffee table books for you both.
Monthly production is currently 3K/month more than double
from the first generation - in general 1,500 for
domestic Japan, 1,000 for the U.S., 400 for the Euros and
100 for the Canadians (the cars are selling better
south of the border, even proportionally)Additionally
the battery supplier (we're the 49% partner,
Matsushita is 51% sold under the Panasonic brand)is making
batteries in 3 different configurations for mini EVs, full
size EVs and HEVs - so there's capacity issues as
well. If the Euros or Canadians push back, we get a few
more cars in a given month. We want to establish the
technology, establish value with it. We don't want to flood
the market and have to incentivize a new product.
There's still a big education learning curve with
consumers and it takes time. Its a calculated
approach.....anyway, on #3735 I documented some of the more relevant
postings. The internet marketing strategy, why the dealers
aren't stocking cars is reviewed on #2105, 1031, 886
FAQs, 617 and 340. <br>Did anyone go to the big
autoshows this year (LA, Detroit, Chi) and get those Prius
holigram (pardon my spelling)suitcase baggage tags? I have
a whole drawer of these things that I'm trying to
unload. Any thoughts. (I know be careful of what you ask
for). PM
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Mar 5 2001, 08:53 PM
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Hmmm. I can see the avalanche coming from that
post of yours. : )<br><br>Let me get the snowball
rolling. I would be happy to take two of those tags off of
you and pay for the shipping. Just email
me.<br><br>Also, I have seen on ocassion, the mention of the Prius
coffee table book. This particular site doesn't have a
search feature, so it may very well have been answered
before. Sorry for the redundancy, but where, if it is
possible, to order/purchase/mug/rob/ask/beg/ or steal this
book from? Thanks.
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Mar 5 2001, 09:20 PM
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I would like to be put on the short list for one
of these prized suitcase baggage tags. But service
the people that already have a prius. I am lurking
around waiting on the 2002 model.. started looking
around for the best dealership. It seems it will come
down to two. Maund or Champion. Got an Olds (I know a
four letter word around here) from Maund, but when I
stoped by for the handouts I got the feeling I was in
the way. <br><br>So, I would flash this item under
the Dealercritters Nose to show I mean business,
where do I sign..<br><br>I too would pay
shipping..<br><br>Perry <br>(hopping to be in a prius by x-mas)
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